Intro

It's time for a reality check ...

Maybe we’ve reached the point of diminishing astonishment.

But I suspect that much of what we’re hammered with every day really doesn’t make much of an impact on most of us anymore. We’ve heard the same stories too often. We’ve been exposed to the same issues for so long without any meaningful resolution. We recognize that reality is rapidly becoming malleable, primarily in the hands of whoever has the biggest microphone. How else can we explain a society where myth asserts itself as reality, based entirely how many hits it gets online?

We know that many of the “issues” as defined are pure crapola, hyped by politicians on both sides pandering to “the will of the people,” which is still more crapola. Inevitably, it’s not the will of all the people they reflect, but the will of relatively small groups of people with disproportionate political influence.

Nobody wants to face up to the realities of the issues. Nobody wants to say what’s right or wrong – even when it’s obvious and there are numbers to back it up. Most of us are afraid to bring up the realities for fear of being accused of being insensitive or downright mean.

So we say nothing. Until now.

It’s time for a reality check on the fundamentals – much of which is common knowledge to many of us, already. But it might be comforting to know you are not alone …

Monday, April 13, 2020

Welcome to the weasel wonderland (Part 3) ...


Today’s topic is on saving small businesses impacted by the lockdown. 

In a word, don’t.  Please stop.  Don’t do any more, for God’s sake.

Congress and the experts have done far too much damage already.  Everything they plan to do going forward is just going to make things much, much worse and squander billions needlessly. 

Here’s why: if the goal is to save laid off employees from going broke, we’ve already done that.  The cash payouts to every American, plus the ridiculously boosted unemployment comp, are putting more money in a lot of people’s pockets than they’ve seen when they were working. 

If the goal is to save small businesses from going broke that ship has sailed.  Not only that, but labor is usually the biggest expense for small businesses – if they’ve laid off their employees, they don’t have that expense anymore. That’s why, for the life of me, I cannot understand why the clowns in government and especially in Congress are so enamored of the Payroll Protection Plan designed to cover payroll expenses for small businesses.

Hello?  Those employees aren’t on the payroll anymore, are they? No, they were laid off and are now collecting unemployment comp.  And, BTW, doing better financially. 

So if you boil this down, the government wants to give loans to small businesses to cover their payroll during the lockdown and if they keep their employees on their payroll, even though they have no work for those employees and those employees aren’t allowed to come to their workplace anyway, the loan becomes an outright grant.

Have you spotted the logic problem? Why can’t Congress? Or Trump, for that matter?    

It's classic circular stupidity. Something you’d expect from Democrats, but no, Republicans are not only pushing this, too, but want to add another $250 billion to this boondoggle, because there’s been such a demand for the loans.  (The initial $350 billion is almost gone.)      

Of course, small businesses – and I use that term loosely as you’ll see – are fighting to get those loans and whining and bitching about how hard they are to obtain.

You see that on the news every night. Small businesses want to stay open and keep their employees, but the government and the banks are standing their way.  The heartless bastards.

Many banks are requiring “business” owners to prove they have a business to get a loan – like a tax ID or EIN.  Some banks are giving a higher priority for processing applications to customers with whom they already have a business-banking relationship.  How dare they …  

Oh the humanity. 

It’s so restrictive that Nancy Pelosi said recently that in the “next” coronavirus stimulus package she wants to loosen the rules so people with no business history, those not knowledgeable enough to complete an application, volunteer clinics, and nonprofits could also qualify for the loans without going through the full vetting process.  (Planned Parenthood is technically a nonprofit, BTW.)

The other day the WSJ had an article on the hold up in loans and one of the examples was a small business owner complaining how she spent the entire morning going from bank to bank and no one was willing to help her.  Her business?  She has a startup with 6-8 employees that helps other organizations make their websites more accessible for the disabled.   

As a lender what would give you pause?  It’s a startup? It’s not actually a real business?  Don’t those capabilities already exist – for free – in practically every major web browser?  Her startup is likely not producing an income yet, and probably isn’t planning to?

Geez, I don’t know. I wouldn’t lend money to her.  That’s just me. 

But she heard banks were giving out money. Why couldn’t she get some? 

That’s the attitude. And never let it be said that a bad idea can’t be made worse by politics. 

Democrats and Republicans are floating the idea for a program that would cover all payrolls – for people earning up to $100,000 a year – until the lockdown is ended, which, according to the supposed experts in DC, could last until 2023. 

I did not make that up. It’s in today’s WSJ. 

I have a much better and less costly set of ideas. 

First, end the lockdowns and let most healthy people go back to work. Reopen the schools.  At this point, some say from 20-50% of us already have been exposed and either not developed any symptoms or automatically recovered. It’s also clear that the virus isn’t as deadly for everyone.  People really at risk – those with underlying health issues – can be quarantined until there’s a real vaccine more easily than a whole freaking country.

In the meantime, everybody else can wear masks, keep up social distancing, wash their hands frequently, keep hand sanitizer and disinfecting wipes handy and go about their daily lives. We’ve been doing it for a couple of  months already.  If someone then displays symptoms of the virus, put them in quarantine and test everybody around them. That’s not that hard.     

Next, stop the handouts. Period.  No more free anything.  No more bullshit giveaways to every scammer, wannabe do-gooder, whining governor, industry group, and corporate weasel with their grubby paws out.  More importantly, don’t print any more money to fund every elected or unelected government employee’s wet dream of as utopian society. Put in realistic sundown clauses, like cutting off funding in two months, in all the programs already passed.

If any Senator or Representative fights this, remember it when they come up for reelection and vote their ass out. Now that I think about it, vote them all out. All of them. They shouldn’t be in office, any of them, anymore, after this shameful and reprehensible episode.     

They’re the reason for all the new demands for additional bailouts and giveaways.  They are the reason why we’re already spending $2.2 trillion to pay people not to work. Why we are grossly overreacting to a “pandemic” that so far is less deadly than our normal seasonal flu.  Why we’re using this event to push bigger government and socialist programs we don’t need and can’t afford.  And why we are spending billions – yes billions – to fund favored businesses and other groups that have nothing to do with combatting the virus. And they’re dreaming up new ways to spend even more.   

They need to be stopped.   

In reality, we shouldn’t bail out anybody, especially not those we always seem to be bailing out – like the auto companies, the airlines, the banks – and this time most certainly not the cruise lines registered elsewhere to avoid our taxes. Bailing them out won’t save jobs – they’ve already laid off most of their employees already, and we’re giving those employees unemployment benefits. 

Every time we’ve bailed out some business or industry in the past they’ve just used our money to boost profits and enrich their top dogs.  Screw them. 

While we’re at it, there’s absolutely no need to save “small business”; the small businesses that were going to make it have been working through all this anyway, without government assistance.  The landscapers. The home remodelers.  The auto repair shops.  There are a lot of people out there who have been working, and a lot of people hiring and paying them. 

Today, for example, we had somebody install solar tubes in our house.  Our next door neighbor had granite countertops installed today.  Last week another neighbor had solar tubes put in.  Yet another neighbor has had a major construction project going on at their home for several months. Obviously, a lot of small businesses are still operating and paying their employees.   

Outside the cities featured every night on the news, the rest of the country has still been quietly working, unless some bureaucrat forced their employer to close.  Those of us outside those cities all know this. For some reason, nobody in DC seems to be aware of this.    

Truthfully, and coldly, a lot of small businesses aren’t worth saving; most have already cut all their employees, and sadly, most were already going to fail sooner or later with or without the pandemic.  Sure, we have heart for the woman who started a company with her mahjong group to make yarmulkes for dachshunds, or the guy who started a business with friends to breed exotic salamanders, but they’ll probably fail.   Giving them loans to prop them up now is like giving a ventilator to a 105-year-old, 3-pack-a-day smoker with emphysema and advanced heart disease just diagnosed with COVID-19 – it may make you feel good but it’s pointless.    

If we want to get the economy – and actually the country – back we need to stop the politicians and DC experts from making it any worse.

If only we could lockdown all of them for a month or two …

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