Some years back Glenn Beck used a graphic divided in half to
demonstrate how the media and
politicians view Americans – liberal or conservative; Republican or
Democrat.
Then he took the same graphic and redrew it to show 30% on
the left, 30% on the right, and 40% in the middle – this, he said, is what really
describes Americans. There are more of us in the middle – politically and
philosophically – than at either extreme.
If anything, since then, the middle has grown even more.
Today’s political establishment – be they Republican or
Democrat – has become ossified. Each party has created their own separate orthodoxies.
To be a “true” Republican or Democrat and get the support of the establishment you
must adhere strictly to the orthodoxy of the party. Otherwise you are an
apostate no longer worthy to worship at the church of your party.
I use this religious analogy because the Republican and
Democrat parties function like fundamentalist religious institutions. It’s a grievous
sin to question party dogma.
Republicans are now fighting over who is a “true conservative.” Democrats are fighting over who is a “true
progressive.” There are litmus tests for each.
True conservatives must be opposed to abortion in any form
for any reason. They must oppose any form of gun control. They must be in favor
of smaller government, strictly enforced borders, marriage as only between one
man and one woman, cutting funds to Planned Parenthood, prayer in school or
anywhere, a stronger military (increased military spending), and school vouchers.
Ted Cruz hits on all of these.
True progressives must be in favor of wealth redistribution
(higher taxes on the rich), increasing the minimum wage, restrictions on gun
purchases, no restrictions on abortions, student loan forgiveness, a path to
citizenship for illegal immigrants, free universal healthcare, reducing dependence on fossil fuels,
increased funding for public schools, better salaries for teachers, and more
expansive government entitlements.
Hillary hits on all of these.
But do you really want either one?
Take a look at those lists again.
What are you? Are you
a conservative or progressive based on these?
Is anybody truly one or the other?
Or do most of us have mixed opinions?
That’s one reason Trump is winning. It’s a broad rejection
by Americans to being held hostage to the rigid orthodoxy of either the far
left or the far right.
Like it or not, we are experiencing a political reformation.
Trump speaks to the ambiguity – if not animosity – many Americans have toward
political correctness and business as usual. His mantra is simple: overthrow
the status quo. And it has traction.
A vote for Trump is a vote against both the Republican and
Democrat parties. It’s a vote against
the media on both the left and the right.
It’s a vote against every politician now in Congress. He defies traditional
categorization between liberal and conservative – he holds somewhat liberal
positions on many social issues, and somewhat conservative positions on
others.
In short, he’s more like most Americans than the politicians
trying to appease their far-left or far-right constituencies. He also changes his mind from time to time –
something we all do – and refuses to be locked into traditional Republican or
arch-conservative, issues.
His supporters like Trump as a whole; not for one hot-button
issue or another. They accept that they may disagree with him on some things,
agree with him on others, but in the bigger picture the single issues are
outweighed by what Trump as a whole represents – radical change.
And that, in a nutshell, is what his supporters want. They
don’t really care if he’s not 100% on every issue; as long as he tells them
what he thinks, not just what they want to hear, he comes across as the only
honest candidate running for President.
That explains why the political establishment and media who continue
to apply single-issue parameters to Trump are so often wrong.
Pundits predicted Trump would not get the support of evangelicals
because he wasn’t strong enough on abortion, traditional marriage, and other
core “family values” issues. They were
wrong; he won evangelicals in recent caucuses and primaries. They also predicted Hispanics would never
support him because of his desire to seal our border; again they were wrong as
he’s getting more of the Hispanic vote all the time. He couldn’t win with
women; again wrong.
The truth is, the pundits and media keep applying the wrong
metrics to Trump.
Trump’s turned his back on the big-money donors, wannabe
king-makers, and political pundits in the Republican Party. He openly mocks Karl
Rove, Mitt Romney and John McCain as political failures out of touch with reality.
He doesn’t care what the Tea Party or the Club for Growth wants. He isn’t
worried about alienating “the base.” He’s making a new base.
While Democrats rail against the rich, he proudly promotes
that he is rich – or “really, really rich” as he put it. He is unabashedly
proud of what he is, unlike Mitt Romney who always seemed to try too hard to be
“one of the people”; Trump’s not like other people and flaunts it.
And he keeps winning without party support, as well as in
the face of their opposition.
All of the above is probably why he’s winning with the
disaffected of both major parties and overwhelmingly with independents. Whenever he’s on the ballot, the number of
voters soars, and he’s winning the lion’s share of those.
The Republican establishment worries he can’t beat Hillary,
because in head-to-head polling Hillary beats him.
Again, there’s more to the story. That presumes Hillary supporters turn out to
vote. Right now there’s a dramatic
enthusiasm gap between Republican primary and caucus voters and Democrats in
the same events. The spread is spectacular.
In Iowa, about 1500 people turned out for the Democrat
Caucus; over 180,000 for the Republican Caucus. In New Hampshire about 30% more
Republican voters showed up than Democrats; and Hillary got clobbered almost
two to one there by a 74-year old Socialist.
Get used to Trump folks. The political reformation has begun.
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