There’s an interesting divide in America between the people
who think they know everything – but are woefully misinformed – and the people who
actually know what they’re talking about, but are ignored.
Not a day goes by that you don’t hear some nonsense about
vaccines, genetically modified foods, second-hand smoke, obesity, autism, and
whatever.
Most of it is completely unproven and unsubstantiated
bullshit.
Usually it’s because people don’t understand the difference
between correlation and causation.
Think of it this way:
correlation is something two or more things have in common that don’t
necessarily lead to a predictable outcome; causation is a direct line from one
thing to another. For example, just
about everybody who became a heroin addict drank milk at one time or another –
that’s a correlation, but this doesn’t mean everybody who drinks milk will become a
heroin addict. On the other hand, people who are actually lactose
intolerant have digestive issues when they eat or drink dairy products like
milk – that’s causation; if you are lactose intolerant it’s highly probable
dairy products will upset your stomach.
Often the nonsense is positioned as a “link” between
something and something else. What they should
be saying is that two things may possibly
be related, but there may be other factors involved, instead of implying a
direct line from one to the other.
I know this sounds overly pedantic, but I am fed up with
phony science, specious “connections,” and intellectual garbage and
misinformation presented as fact.
Just because someone who is a “scientist” claims something
doesn’t make it so. “Researchers” are
often paid shills for special interest groups who either have an axe to grind
or stand to profit from swaying public opinion.
Despite the academic-sounding titles of supposedly “independent” organizations,
these are usually no more than fronts for someone or some group with a vested
interest – they are rarely unbiased.
And don’t believe 90% of what you read on the Internet. Most of it is self-serving crap.
So here’s some truth:
- Vaccines can produce adverse health effects in a
statistically insignificant part of the population; however there is no data – repeat,
no data – proving that vaccines cause autism … but the risk of serious health
issues from lack of vaccinations is fully proven. Also, parents who withhold vaccinations from
their children jeopardize not only their children’s health, but the health of
others in the stupid, selfish and mistaken belief they are preventing
autism. Meanwhile, poor kids are getting vaccinated because
their parents see the bright line connecting vaccinations with avoiding preventable
diseases like measles, mumps and rubella.
It’s the more affluent who aren’t vaccinating their precious kids because
they’ve read some crap on the Internet about the risk of autism. As one CDC person said, if you want to know
the hot spots for measles outbreaks today, look for areas with a Whole Foods
store. Says it all.
- Most conditions “on the rise” – such as autism and
ADHD – are not really becoming more common.
More often, it’s just a case of a change in definitions lowering the threshold
to allow more people to be “diagnosed” with the disease or malady du jour. There’s
a conscious and constant escalation of what used to be behavioral issues that
passed with time into “diseases” that now must be treated aggressively with expensive
therapy and/or recently developed prescription drugs. This way, parents and teachers aren’t responsible
– it’s a medical thing – and doctors and drug companies make big profits. That’s not to say that autism and ADHD are
not real; however, the devil’s in the definition.
- Genetically modified foods (GMOs) have been
around since primitive people first dabbled with selective breeding of
livestock. Rice, maize and other staples
have been selectively cross bred with other strains for at least 2,000 years. In
short, most of the foods we eat today are the result of altering the genetic
makeup of an original animal or food either by nature or by man’s hand. GMO wheat and rice alone have probably saved
billions of human lives over the years – lives that would have been lost
because “natural” wheat and rice couldn’t withstand local growing
conditions. Forget “Franken foods” as
the misbegotten product of evil geniuses; GMO foods have generally allowed us
to live longer and healthier, and fend off famine worldwide.
And like vaccines, there is no direct proven link between GMO foods and autism, ADHD, nor athlete’s foot, ingrown toenails, leprosy, male pattern baldness,
etc.
- All edible food is “organic.” In scientific terms, organic compounds are
defined as having carbon molecules; inorganic compounds are made of salts,
metals and other stuff you can’t eat.
Well you could, but you wouldn’t last long. However, “organic” foods are popularly
defined today as having been exposed to no synthetic pesticides or synthetic
fertilizers or irradiation, and containing no artificial preservatives, colors or additives.
Of course fresh produce is better for you than processed or canned foods. Yet there’s absolutely no proof that “organic”
produce is any better for you or more nutritious than regular
fresh produce. Not everything labeled
organic is automatically better, but it’s usually more expensive. It’s understandable that people would prefer and
be willing to pay more for organic alternatives to meat or poultry from animals
raised on a diet of steroids and growth hormones; but is “organic” bundled
firewood really worth more?
- Most of how healthy you are and how long you’ll
live rests on the genes you inherited. I know, that’s a fatalistic view but it’s
true. There’s no miracle diet that cures cancer, no magic exercise that will
give everybody six-pack abs, no lifestyle change that will add another 10 years
to your life – unless your genes agree.
That’s why some two-pack-a-day smokers who drink 10 cups of coffee daily,
and eat nothing but waffles and sausages, can live to be 100 and die peacefully
in their sleep. Meanwhile, some non-smoker
vegetarians who abstain from alcohol, sweets, fats, and coffee or tea, and who work
out religiously every day, can stroke out on the treadmill at 58. It’s unfair but it’s true. Does this mean you should give up? Of course not. But the longer you live the more you realize
that everything you learn about what’s good or bad for you is subject to
change. One days eggs are poison; the
next day eggs are okay. One day, a
couple of drinks a day increases your risk of dying; a little later it’s
recommended that everyone have a couple of drinks a day to live longer.
- Global warming is real. So is global cooling. Scientists have no proof that either is
caused by humans. For most of us, geologic
time is beyond our capacity to comprehend; the global warming advocates who
blame humans use this to present a case for sweeping changes in how the world
manufactures things and fuels industry and our daily lives based on short-term data. In the 1970s they predicted another Ice Age. When that didn’t happen, they predicted death
and destruction from an overheated world. Now the world is cooling again so it’s called “climate change.” They really want us to stop using fossil
fuels and instead rely on solar power; they also want to control every aspect
of our lives – what we drive, where we live, how we heat and cool our homes,
how we grow our food, etc. Honestly,
they are clueless about what causes global heating and cooling, but won’t admit
it. They just don't want to let a real or imagined "crisis" go to waste as they try to redesign society.
So much of what is reported today is bogus. It’s propaganda from people who really should
know better – and probably do – but have something to gain from promoting or
perpetuating a myth. Maybe it’s to get
more grant money, or boost book sales or speaking fees, or to simply make more
money selling something as a solution to a made-up or over-hyped
condition.
Regardless, it’s usually based on bad science. Suppositions.
Selective use of data.
And intentionally blurring the line between correlation and
causation.
There’s a big difference between the two. And it matters.
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