Intro

It's time for a reality check ...

Maybe we’ve reached the point of diminishing astonishment.

But I suspect that much of what we’re hammered with every day really doesn’t make much of an impact on most of us anymore. We’ve heard the same stories too often. We’ve been exposed to the same issues for so long without any meaningful resolution. We recognize that reality is rapidly becoming malleable, primarily in the hands of whoever has the biggest microphone. How else can we explain a society where myth asserts itself as reality, based entirely how many hits it gets online?

We know that many of the “issues” as defined are pure crapola, hyped by politicians on both sides pandering to “the will of the people,” which is still more crapola. Inevitably, it’s not the will of all the people they reflect, but the will of relatively small groups of people with disproportionate political influence.

Nobody wants to face up to the realities of the issues. Nobody wants to say what’s right or wrong – even when it’s obvious and there are numbers to back it up. Most of us are afraid to bring up the realities for fear of being accused of being insensitive or downright mean.

So we say nothing. Until now.

It’s time for a reality check on the fundamentals – much of which is common knowledge to many of us, already. But it might be comforting to know you are not alone …

Monday, January 13, 2020

How to leave Iraq and Afghanistan ...

Just take our ball and go home. That’s the answer. 

There’s nothing for us there. Nothing worth fighting for. And certainly nothing worth dying for.  It’s just a bottomless hole to pour money and American lives down. 

The cold hard reality of 2020 is that we don’t need anything from anyone there.  We don’t even need their oil anymore. We have plenty of our own, thank you. 

So I say, let’s just leave.  Pack up our stuff and go. 

They claim they don't want us there, anyway.  Okay.  

Fly our combat aircraft to other bases in Europe, then run a bunch of military cargo planes and container ships out there and load up everything we can and bring it all home. Everything: tanks, Humvees, jeeps, artillery, heavy weapons, missiles, antiaircraft systems, small arms, all the ammunition, and whatever else we’ve given them.   

Don’t leave anything behind.  Seriously, leave nothing useful.  

What we can’t ship back, we should destroy.  Not just pull distributor caps, let the air out of tires, or paint a giant pink X on it.  I’m talking molten heaps of stuff.  No way to recover. 

Of course, that’s wasteful.  But it was a waste to ship in all that stuff in the first place. If we leave anything useful behind for our “allies” the bad guys will soon have everything we left.  Corrupt weasels in Iraq or Afghanistan will just give it or sell it to the same people we’ve been fighting against on their behalf for all these years.  They’ve done it repeatedly before.        

What about our loyal allies there?  Are we just going to turn our back on all of them now?

Yessiree-bob.  The same way they turn their backs on us all the time. 

Everybody needs to come to grips with the fact that we don’t have any loyal allies there.  Nobody in that region is the loyal ally of anyone, much less us.  Every “alliance” is temporary and merely one of convenience. They all hate each other, and us.  They hated each other before we got there, and, trust me, they’ll continue to hate each other long after we’re gone.

We’ve deluded ourselves for years that by supporting some despot or warlord with money and weapons they become our ally.  Our friend.  They’d support us when it mattered. 

That’s completely delusional. None of them would lift a finger to help us. Most of them think we’re hopelessly naïve, that we’ll never understand that region, and they are right. They’re happy to take our money and weapons and wait for us to leave. Then they can go back to killing each other – which is really their favorite pastime.   

We have no business there.  We’re just interfering with the natural order. We're holding up play.  

Think-tank wonks hate to admit it but the Middle East is nothing but a toxic mix of warring tribes and ethnic and religious hostilities.  Persians, Arabs, Kurds, Pashtun, and God knows what other ethnic groups are there and usually at each other’s throats. 

Some religious groups – like the Sunni and Shia – have hated and killed each other for over a thousand years.  Some Sunni hate other Sunni who aren’t fundamentalist enough for their tastes.

It’s a mistake to think they all want lasting peace.  They don’t. 

Their leaders love never ending wars; wars distract their people from realizing how corrupt their governments are. Wars keep them in power, keep foreign aid money flowing, and hide a lot of economic shortcomings.  Wars are also much needed jobs programs. Because, frankly, there’s not a lot else worthwhile to do for a living in most of these places. 

The warmongers in our Congress and their lobbyist pals know this. They know supporting foreign wars is a complete waste of our money and military lives.  But that’s how they keep power and make money – spending taxpayer money to stay in office and enrich themselves.     

DOD spending drives the economies of many regions stateside and keeps high-paying manufacturing and research jobs in key states and Congressional districts. Lobbyists for these defense contractors and foreign governments are a rich source of campaign contributions for Congress, and lucrative post-government positions with lobbying firms or defense contractors. 

Foreign wars consume what our defense industry makes. More wars mean we need to make more to keep up with demand. More wars, more local jobs, more profits, more campaign money, more votes. 

That’s the real reason hawks in Congress support meaningless foreign wars.  Forget the BS about protecting allies abroad from bad guys.  Forget the line that “if we don’t fight them there, we’ll have to fight them here.” Forget “domino theory” analogies.  Forget all the crap about our obligation to uphold human rights and foster democracy around the world. 

If we walk away from the Middle East, it won’t change anything.  If we stay there it won’t change anything either, except cost us more money and American lives. 

It’s long past time to cut our losses.  What’s the worst that could happen? 

We’d lose face. Our “allies” would be concerned that they could no longer trust us to protect them.  Good. Maybe they’d get off their ass and protect themselves. 

Russia would move into the fill the void.  Good luck there, Ivan.  Remember Afghanistan? It’s just a matter of time before the locals turn on you, too. Religious extremists on all sides will take time out from killing each other to kill your people.  Just for sport.   

Iran will take over Iraq.  Well, they’ll have to fight the Kurds, the Sunni militias, Shia militias that turn on them, and who knows else to pull that off. It will be Iran’s Vietnam and Afghanistan rolled into one. That is, if the mullahs aren’t overthrown by the Iranians first. 

Meanwhile, US public opinion will largely welcome and support the withdrawal. Much to the chagrin of talking heads and pundits on cable news and elsewhere.   

Oh, I am forgetting some other consequences.  Our media and Democrats will go berserk; the same media and Democrats usually in favor of cutting our defense budget and getting out of meaningless wars.  Lobbyists will flood the hallways of Congress.  In a rare display of bipartisanship, the House and Senate will pass a resolution condemning our withdrawal.  

Our State Department will warn of dire consequences to our international reputation. Former State Department officials, and past military officials like Mattis, will testify before Congress that we’re putting the security of the world at risk.  And creating an existential threat to our nation.   

Lindsey Graham will go on TV to dramatically announce he’s sending a “very strong letter” to the President opposing withdrawal from the Middle East.

One last repercussion: the Europeans will follow us out of the Middle East – our withdrawal will give them the cover they’ve been waiting for to get out, too. 

Let’s do it.   

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