Intro

It's time for a reality check ...

Maybe we’ve reached the point of diminishing astonishment.

But I suspect that much of what we’re hammered with every day really doesn’t make much of an impact on most of us anymore. We’ve heard the same stories too often. We’ve been exposed to the same issues for so long without any meaningful resolution. We recognize that reality is rapidly becoming malleable, primarily in the hands of whoever has the biggest microphone. How else can we explain a society where myth asserts itself as reality, based entirely how many hits it gets online?

We know that many of the “issues” as defined are pure crapola, hyped by politicians on both sides pandering to “the will of the people,” which is still more crapola. Inevitably, it’s not the will of all the people they reflect, but the will of relatively small groups of people with disproportionate political influence.

Nobody wants to face up to the realities of the issues. Nobody wants to say what’s right or wrong – even when it’s obvious and there are numbers to back it up. Most of us are afraid to bring up the realities for fear of being accused of being insensitive or downright mean.

So we say nothing. Until now.

It’s time for a reality check on the fundamentals – much of which is common knowledge to many of us, already. But it might be comforting to know you are not alone …

Monday, September 28, 2015

One down; one to go …

I’m sure John Boehner is a good and decent man, but it was time for him to go. Voters gave Republicans an historic majority in the House on the promise that they would then have the numbers to push back on Obama and the Democrats by exercising the power of the purse.    

Boehner accomplished quite a bit, in fairness to him, but not enough. So he’s resigning.

Now it’s time for Mitch McConnell to do the same. Again, voters gave Republicans what they asked for – a majority in the Senate – and it hasn’t changed a thing. McConnell says there’s nothing he can do unless he can get a super majority.

That’s not going to cut it.  When the Democrats controlled the Senate under Harry Reid they didn’t have a super majority but they were able to run roughshod over the minority Republicans and block whatever House and Senate Republicans proposed. Harry even enacted the “nuclear option” to change Senate rules on confirmations to a simple majority vote.

Today, Republicans are in charge of the Senate. McConnell isn’t willing to follow Reid’s lead. He could change the rules to minimize the need for a super majority to get anything passed.  But he won’t – instead, he tries to make this into a principled stand based on upholding tradition. 

It’s like bringing a knife to a gunfight.

Principles are all fine and good if everyone adheres to these. But if one side is willing to break the traditional rules, the other side can’t just continue to play by those outdated rules. They’ll be slaughtered needlessly much as sending horse cavalry against armored tanks.  

The rules of warfare and the rules of politics have changed.

Senate Democrats changed the rules; Senate Republicans need to consider doing the same.

Republicans can’t wait for the trifecta – holding the House, Senate and White House. That may never happen; voters are reluctant to put all those in the hands of one party.  Even if Republicans do beat historic trends there’s no indication current Republican leadership would be willing to exercise the power that would give them. 

I suspect there would always be some reason why Republicans would still fold when faced with an organized Democrat opposition fully comfortable with using House and Senate rules to their advantage when possible, or bypassing those rules when necessary. Republicans need to realize they are in a very real battle with Democrats who believe the ends justify the means, and who are willing to do whatever is required – regardless of tradition – to get what they want. 

As Marco Rubio stated, it’s time for a new generation of Republicans to assume leadership. 

For better or worse, that’s what’s happening. The Republican establishment is crumbling, hammered by conservatives on one side and on the other by a Republican base that feels cheated. It's understandable that they'd feel this way.  

There’s a reason why three political outsiders are leading among Republican candidates for President.  The base is fed up with excuses from career politicians like Boehner and McConnell. It’s had its fill of Democrat-lite nice-guy candidates like McCain and Romney who ultimately go down in flames.

The base wants Republicans willing to fight for what they want – smaller and less intrusive government, reduced spending, border security, and a strong defense. The base wants Republican leaders prepared to wage war against the Democrats when needed, to compromise only when necessary, and to change the course the country’s now on. 

They aren’t getting that from the current Republican establishment. 

The danger for the party is similar to that faced by Democrats in late 60s and early 70s.  Back then, the ultra-liberal anti-war wing of the Democrat party took over party leadership and drove the party into the ground, alienating moderate and conservative Democrat voters, and costing Democrats elections. 

The same can happen to the Republican party if it allows its far-right elements to make contentious social issues like gay marriage and immigration the cornerstone of the party. They need to stick to the knitting – running an efficient, financially stable, and safe country – and govern from a position of strength, not timidity.   

In the short term, Republicans will take some losses. But in the longer term anger at government in general among voters will continue to grow and support will start to move toward those interested in returning government to the people and not to bureaucrats. 

The political establishment is doomed. The Republican establishment will take the first bullet.  But the Democrat establishment won’t be far behind.  

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